June 03, 2008

Barack Obama clinches nomination; hello, President John McCain! (predictions!)

Get used to saying "President John McCain", because Barack Obama has supposedly clinched the Democratic nomination.

Assuming a matchup between McCain and Obama, I predict that BHO has a 0.1% chance of being elected our next president. Further, I predict that McCain will win by at least 10 points. (And, I've been saying that since at least early March, by the way: reason.com/blog/show/125627.html).

What's going to happen is that even more "interesting" connections and statements are going to be released, but we might need to wait until October for that. While to a certain small extent racism and opposition to someone named "Barack Hussein Obama" will play a part, the large opposition to BHO will be because he's a far-left loon who's even worse than John Kerry. Millions of people will wake up to the fact that he's simply a Chicago politician who's been pushed by the media.

And, millions will vote for McCain not because they support him but in order to keep Obama out of office.

Bob Barr won't be a factor because there's little of interest to most Americans to separate him from McCain. McCain's support for foreign expeditions only resonates with leftwing Democrats; he will be sold - effectively so - to most everyone else as a patriotic supporter of our military. On immigration, Barr might be even worse than McCain. Even some libertarians won't vote for Barr due to his past statements and actions. So, he won't be a factor.

BHO being the candidate could serve the interests of some Democratic leaders who might want a GOP president in order to better maintain their power. When he loses, it will also make a Hillary run in 2012 much easier. And, perhaps BHO has been pushed by the MSM because they know he's the weaker candidate and they know that McCain would be better for business.

There are only a couple things that could change the outcome at this point:

1. BHO's problems become evident in the next month or two and Hillary - or even Al Gore - is brought in. That has a fair chance of happening.

2. If a pro-American, Ross Perot-style candidate such as Lou Dobbs enters the race. That doesn't have much of a chance of happening.

Posted to Politics at June 3, 2008 12:15 PM